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What’s the job market look like for 2025 graduates?
May 27, 2025
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It’s graduation season — a time of celebration and new beginnings. For families with college seniors, this time can bring both excitement and uncertainty. While some graduates have jobs lined up, many others still are navigating job searches anxiously.
The main reasons for the increase in hiring are employers’ commitment to keeping their talent pipelines full, and the fact that more than 60% of companies reported that they’re growing.[1]
Improving company prospects adds to good news on the salary front, with 40.8% of employers reporting that they plan to increase salaries for bachelor’s degree graduates, and almost 30% will do the same at the master’s degree level. Moreover, 52% of employers plan to offer signing bonuses this year, the highest level since 2019. Few employers who participated in the survey signaled that they were reducing salaries.[1]
When asked which majors employers are looking for when hiring recent graduates, 51% said they hire in majors that are exclusive to their industry and other majors that fall outside their industry. Only 23% say they’re hiring only in majors exclusive to their industry, slightly less than those who don’t look at the graduate’s major.[1]
Even though hiring managers may not look too closely at an applicant’s major, in a competitive marketplace, grades do matter. More of these managers say they’re looking at grades, with 47% of respondents indicating they’ll screen by GPA. That’s up from 38% in 2024.[1]
At the start of the year, the Federal Reserve projected the unemployment rate to be 4.3% by the end of 2025. This trend reflects steady job growth, even as the economy faces a variety of headwinds, as well as global uncertainties.[2]
Until recently, working for the government was a potential career path. In 2023, 25% of all jobs created were in the government sector. With the current administration looking to downsize the federal workforce from its current 3 million employees, getting a job in a federal agency might not be as easy as it once was.
The timing of the downsize may add competition for 2025 college grads. Corporate and private-sector employers may use this opportunity to tap into recently displaced individuals with regulatory, compliance and administrative experience. However, challenges for employers may lie in bridging the gap between federal experience and private-sector expectations by identifying transferable skills, modernizing technical skills and adapting to a vastly different work culture. Hiring straight out of college may be a better option for some because they would be starting with a clean slate.[4]
While there are signs that employment will hold steady in 2025, not all industries move in tandem. Certain technology-related professions continue adding workers, even though others have experienced layoffs. Healthcare is also a driver of job growth thanks to an aging population and greater demand for services.[5]
This year’s graduates are entering the workforce amid expected adjustments as companies and entire industries navigate the evolving economic environment. As technological advancements powered by artificial intelligence (AI) reshape the world, many companies are assessing how they’ll integrate this new technology into their operational strategies. As AI increases in efficiency, it may decrease the need for specific jobs, including some entry-level ones that typically would go to college graduates. This trend goes beyond the tech industry, impacting sectors such as automotive, retail and finance, among others — all of which are seeking to remain competitive in a fast-moving environment.
Whereas in the past, automation could reduce blue-collar jobs, AI-enabled automation is affecting white-collar positions for which recent college grads usually would be in line. Graduates need to be prepared for new competition from AI.
Technology will continue to disrupt industries, leading to a growing demand for new skills among workers, including those graduating this year. Businesses looking to succeed long-term are starting to adapt, embrace change and focus on employees’ ability to perform tasks effectively. It’s the focus of a new trend –– “skills-based hiring.”
Skills-based hiring emphasizes capability over credentials, flexibility rather than rigidity and merit instead of tradition. Skills-based hiring offers a solution by focusing the hiring process on specific skills that a candidate can bring to the table. In the changing landscape, someone skilled in problem-solving, collaboration and continuous learning may be more valuable than one who possesses a particular degree or has worked in a specific industry for many years.[7]
This trend can be a double-edged sword for recent graduates looking to enter the job market. Earning a bachelor’s degree has been viewed as the pathway to higher-earning careers and greater job prospects, but hiring managers increasingly are focusing on a student’s learning and skills instead.
Companies still place value on college degree programs as a hiring credential. An October 2023 report from the National Association of Colleges and Employers finds that 70% of entry-level jobs require a bachelor’s degree.[8]
More employers are screening applicants for skills gained in experiential learning settings, such as internships, making those summer internships in a student’s junior and senior years more critical than ever.
When looking for new professionals, employers increasingly view skills as a predictive factor of career potential. When asked to rank which factors are the best indicators of the future potential of an entry-level candidate with no prior work experience, business leaders point to evidence of durable skills (22%) and understanding of the company’s field (20%), according to a recent survey.8
However, this doesn’t mean that college was a waste of time. Hiring managers may continue to prioritize candidates with a degree as a proxy for skills or experience needed.[8]
Due to current headwinds, patience may be needed for a newly minted graduate’s job search. Here are some suggestions that may be helpful in their journey to find their first “real” job:
A college graduate may want to pursue some of the following to proactively gain work experience, develop their skills, and increase their marketability to potential employers while navigating their job search:
In a competitive job market for recent college graduates, having a well-written resume can be the difference between earning an interview offer and being overlooked, particularly now that many hiring managers are using AI-enabled tools to sort through resumes.
For recent college graduates, a resume is their first opportunity to demonstrate their qualifications to potential employers––a platform on which to showcase their academic achievements, extracurricular activities, relevant internship or part-time work experience and skills.
An effective resume must showcase a candidate’s strengths, experience and education. Here are some elements to consider when creating a resume for a recent college graduate:[9]
To elevate the odds of a resume gaining further attention, a recent grad needs to put in some work, including careful research, preparation and attention to detail in order to:
A report by Intelligent, an online magazine dedicated to student life, revealed that 38% of employers avoid hiring recent college graduates. Around 58% of managers, directors and executives in the United States say this group of potential employees is unprepared for the workforce.[10]
A graduate may be able to increase their odds of success by addressing these critiques from this survey. Hiring managers said that young adults:[10]
While different areas of the country are known for specific job opportunities, the ADP Research Institute created a list in 2024 of the best (and worst) places for young graduates to start their careers. For its ranking, researchers examined ADP data on more than 4 million 20- to 29-year-olds at more than 27,000 U.S. employers from January 2019 through April 2024, examining a combination of wages, affordability and robust hiring. Here are the results:[11]
With rising living costs, many recent graduates are choosing to move back in with family after college. According to a 2023 Pew Research study, about a third of young adults ages 18 to 34 live at home with their parents.[12]
Demographics play a role. People marry and have children later, making them less likely to leave the nest. Pew’s research found that only 29% of young adults are now married, as opposed to 50% in 1993.[12]
Student loan debt could also be partly responsible for the growth in young adults living at home. Some millennials and Gen Zers today face higher debt burdens than previous generations, making it more difficult to pay rent after loan payments each month.
Housing is another stumbling block. While home ownership might be possible for young adults working in smaller cities, getting a down payment together may take years for those living in the largest metro areas.
If you’re welcoming a college graduate back into your home while they get back on their feet, you should decide on a plan to ensure that you’re all on the same page on expectations about the basics, including:
The job market is in constant flux and is impacted by many factors, from economic to cultural to political. Based on the current environment, those in the Class of 2025 are in better shape to land that first job than some previous graduates. However, the job market is competitive, and success can depend on a mix of attributes, including major, grades and skills. It also can come down to timing, network connections and some luck.
Congratulations to all of the 2025 college graduates! We wish them all the best. If you know anyone graduating this year, feel free to share this with their family. If you or anyone you know would like to discuss any aspects of this article, feel free to reach out to our team anytime.
[1] National Association of Colleges and Employers, Nov. 7, 2024
[2] IBAFIN, Dec. 18, 2024
[3] Yahoo Finance, Feb. 28, 2024
[4] Forbes, Feb. 14, 2025
[5] Palcaus. Jan. 17, 2025
[6] OpenTools.com Jan. 5, 2025
[7] Business World, Feb. 10, 2025
[8] Inside Higher Ed, Nov. 7, 2024
[9] Resumehead.com, February 2025
[10] Forbes, Feb. 15, 2024
[11] CBS News Miney Watch, July 8, 2024
[12] The Earnest Blog, July 15, 2024
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